Last year, we ran down 9 OT networking trends that carried the potential to reshape how smart buildings operate. This OT networking trends 2026 update checks in on which ones actually did. Some of those, like blockchain-secured BACnet, still read like a solution in search of a problem. But four of them — edge computing, predictive AI, digital twins, and 10BASE-T1L Ethernet — looked like the ones most likely to move from “trend” to “actually installed in your building” within a year or two (or 10, let’s be real about the industry!).
So we checked. We went back through what we’ve published since, what the rest of the industry has been saying, and what the data actually shows.
The short version: three of the four are real, but smaller and slower than the pitch decks suggested. The fourth is quietly having the best year of the bunch.
But all four still run into the same wall, which turns out to be the most useful finding in this whole exercise.
Edge Computing: Real, But Not Where You’d Expect
We already gave this one a full deep dive in Edge Computing in OT Networks: What Building Automation Teams Should Actually Expect in 2026, so we won’t re-run the whole argument here. The short version: edge computing in building OT is happening, but not at the layer most of the original hype was about.
Gateway-level edge processing — a BMS server or edge appliance that aggregates BACnet data locally, runs rule-based logic, and forwards only exceptions upstream — is genuinely deployed today in hospitals, large campuses, and sophisticated commercial buildings. AI-assisted fault detection at the edge is emerging behind it.
What isn’t happening, and won’t be for a while, is edge compute running directly on BACnet controllers. This shouldn’t be much of a bombshell: hardware refresh cycles in building automation run 15–20 years, and the installed controller base simply doesn’t have the memory or processing power to host analytics workloads.
Outside our own reporting, the wider industrial-automation press backs up the “real, but not where the hype pointed” sentiment. In a March 2026 ARC Advisory Group interview, Inductive Automation’s CTO Carl Gould described edge computing as “a key area of focus” for users, but the examples were local data acquisition and pre-processing before it moves to the cloud — the same gateway-layer pattern we’re seeing in building OT, not compute running on end devices. Not building automation specifically, but it’s a useful data point that the gateway-layer version of edge computing is where the real deployments are happening industry-wide, not just in our corner of it.
It also matches what came up on our own podcast. On How to Handshake, Episode 6, Rudy Bohince of Albireo Energy put it plainly: “We haven’t seen a whole lot of analytics on the edge yet.” The closest thing in practice is local trend caching, so data keeps collecting even if a network connection drops — useful, but a long way from the “intelligence at every device” pitch from a year ago.
Predictive AI: The Investment Is Real. So Is the Data Problem.
This is the trend with the clearest evidence of momentum — and the clearest evidence that the bottleneck was never the AI model.
Johnson Controls’ 2026 AI & Digitalization in Facilities Management Report surveyed 760 U.S. business leaders and 260 facility managers in December 2025. The numbers are a real jump from “trend to watch” territory:
- 65% of business leaders and 67% of facility managers say their organization is already using AI to improve facility operations and maintenance.
- Among organizations planning new AI deployments in 2026, 47% of business leaders and 52% of FMs are specifically adopting it for predictive maintenance — the single most popular planned investment in the survey.
- Despite that appetite, data quality and system integration were cited as the biggest barriers to scaling AI, ahead of budget, cybersecurity, and lack of in-house expertise.
That last point is the important one, and it’s exactly what we heard from our own guests. On How to Handshake, Episode 6: Predict This, both Rudy Bohince and Justin Carter of ENFRA spent most of the conversation on what they called the “dirty data problem” — inconsistent point naming, orphaned overrides, gaps in historical trends — and both described what you need before predictive maintenance tools can do anything useful: a stable, verified network, then data tagging, and only then analytics. As Rudy put it, “If you’re not at least doing those three verticals, you’re going to have a tough time.”
We went deeper on exactly this in OT Network Readiness: The Prerequisite for FDD & Analytics. The ROI case for fault detection and predictive analytics is legitimate — Pacific Northwest National Laboratory has estimated up to 29% of commercial building energy use could be avoided through better controls and fault correction. But none of that shows up if the network underneath is feeding bad data.
In OptigoVN’s 2025 State of the Network Report, of roughly 2,008 monitored networks, 34.1% scored in the Critical health range and another 37.4% in Warning — meaning close to three-quarters of the networks in that dataset would be handing a predictive AI platform an unreliable picture of the building before the algorithm ever runs.
So: real budget, real adoption, real intent. The gap between the pitch and the result is still exactly where it was a year ago — clean data in, trustworthy prediction out.
Digital Twins: A Tipping Point, But a Selective One
Our own What is a Digital Twin and What Does It Mean for Your Building? already laid out the performance case: up to 20% reductions in energy consumption, 25–30% lower maintenance costs, and 30–50% fewer post-handover complaints. Those figures haven’t moved much, but the adoption story around them has clarified.
In a March 2026 interview, Twinview director Neil Hancock described 2026 as a genuine pivot point for digital twins in building operations — but a selective one. His read: the strongest real-world adoption is landing in “operationally complex” portfolios — higher education, healthcare, social housing, and large commercial real estate portfolios with aging estates, regulatory pressure, and constrained budgets. That’s a narrower footprint than “every smart building will have a digital twin,” which was closer to the framing a year ago.
Hancock also named the same overreach we flagged with predictive AI, almost word for word: “Everyone wants to jump straight to AI, because it’s exciting… but in reality, AI is only as good as the data you feed it. And in building operations, most organisations still don’t have clean, reliable and connected data. Fully autonomous buildings or digital twins that can predict everything without proper data foundations.”
What is delivering value, in his view, is unglamorous: twins wired into existing workflows and work orders, better fault prioritization, and cleaner asset data — not the autonomous-building pitch that gets the headlines.
10BASE-T1L: The Quiet Winner
If you asked us a year ago which of these four had the best chance of actually catching on, T1L probably wouldn’t have topped the list. It’s earned a second look.
Here’s why: because T1L is Ethernet, BACnet/IP runs directly over it with no protocol translation or gateway required, just on a single twisted pair with a 1 km reach instead of 100 meters. That means existing two-wire runs originally pulled for MS/TP, Modbus, or LON can be repurposed for full BACnet/IP communication. Now you’ve got a technology solving a real, unglamorous problem: how to bring IP and BACnet/IP to the edge of a building without ripping open finished ceilings.
What’s changed since last year isn’t a projection — it’s who’s actually building for it:
- Honeywell has a shipped product and a real deployment. T1L support is built into its Optimizer Unitary Controllers line, and Honeywell has a named case study of a government facility that upgraded a decades-old BAS using T1L instead of rewiring. Honeywell is one of the three largest BMS manufacturers globally, so this isn’t a niche player betting on a standard — it’s a top-tier OEM building it into a mainstream controller line.
- Contemporary Controls took it to an independent trade show, not just a blog. Its Director of R&D presented T1L in a dedicated session at AHR Expo 2026 — a major HVAC industry show run by ASHRAE/AHRI, not a vendor-controlled venue — alongside its EIMK-T1L media converter for bridging existing BACnet MS/TP, LonWorks, or Modbus wiring to IP.
- The chip supply chain is investing, which has to happen before anyone else can. Texas Instruments, Analog Devices, and Broadcom are all shipping T1L PHY silicon. Without component-level support, controller manufacturers can’t build T1L products at any scale — this is the leading indicator underneath the other two points.
- Altronix entered the market in July 2026 with a new line of T1L media converters and switches built for building automation under its Pace brand — a newer entrant to this space, but a second hardware vendor shipping product within months of the first.
If you asked us a year ago which of these four had the best chance of actually catching on, T1L probably wouldn’t have topped the list. It has.

The Pattern Underneath All Four
Every one of these technologies hits the same wall, and it’s not the technology itself. Edge computing needs clean data flowing off the network before there’s anything worth processing locally. Predictive AI needs a stable, well-tagged data feed before a model can find a real pattern instead of a network artifact. A digital twin is only as accurate as the telemetry feeding it. Even T1L, which is a pure infrastructure play, only pays off if what’s riding on that wire is well-behaved BACnet/IP traffic and not a broadcast storm looking for a bigger highway.
Any of these four trends could be layered on top of an OT network that isn’t ready to support it. That’s the same conclusion we reached looking at fault detection and diagnostics specifically, and it holds just as well here: clear the network first, then layer on whatever you’re actually trying to deliver.
This is also, not coincidentally, exactly what purpose-built OT monitoring tools like OptigoVN are built to do: give you an objective health score for your OT network, and pinpoint the duplicate devices, broadcast storms, and configuration drift that undermine every application layered above them.
If you’re comparing platforms, we broke down how OptigoVN stacks up against other options in 7 Best OT Network Monitoring Tools for 2026. If you’re planning to invest in any of the four trends above in 2026, that’s the honest place to start.
One More Thing That’s Changed: IT/OT Convergence
This wasn’t one of the original nine trends, but it’s shown up consistently enough in the last year that it’s worth flagging on its own. The debate over whether IT and OT networks would converge is over. Modern building systems run on IP infrastructure and share a backbone with the enterprise network, full stop. What’s changed is the conversation has moved from “if” to “how,” and specifically to questions of leadership and team structure rather than technology.
We covered this in Leading the Charge: Navigating the IT/OT Convergence, and in more detail with Jim Meacham of Altura Associates and Doug Plumley of Dartmouth College on How to Handshake, Episode 4. The throughline from both: the friction isn’t technical anymore, it’s vocabulary and org-chart. Getting an IT engineer to understand that “I have eighteen routers” means BACnet routers, not IP routers, or getting OT staff comfortable with the idea that a BACnet/SC migration is really an authentication and encryption problem IT already knows how to solve, does more for a converged network than any new product does.
Quick Hits: The Other Five
We’re focusing this update on the four trends most likely to have moved the needle, but for completeness, here’s where the rest of the original nine stand as of mid-2026:
- LoRaWAN — Still a solid fit for remote, battery-powered sensors on sprawling campuses, but adoption in mainstream building OT remains niche compared to wired BACnet/IP and Wi-Fi.
- Private 5G — Interest persists in hospitals and dense campuses, but cost and the need for a genuinely fast, reliable LAN underneath it are still holding back broader deployment.
- Blockchain — Hasn’t found real traction in building OT security. The use case remains theoretical.
- Time-Sensitive Networking (TSN) — Continues to matter for industrial automation and data centers where microsecond timing is critical, but it’s not a mainstream building automation story yet.
- Self-Healing Networks — More marketing language than deployed capability in commercial buildings so far, though the automated fault-detection groundwork (the kind OptigoVN provides) is a prerequisite for it either way.
If any of these five deserve their own deep dive the way edge computing got, let us know — we’re happy to come back and give one of them the full treatment.
OT Networking Trends 2026: Where This Leaves You
The technologies are further along than a year ago, in some cases meaningfully so. But the finding that matters for anyone planning a 2026 or 2027 investment isn’t which trend to bet on — it’s that none of them work without a healthy OT network underneath. Before you scope an edge deployment, a predictive maintenance pilot, or a digital twin project, get an objective read on where your network actually stands.
Start a free OptigoVN trial or book a demo to see what your OT network can actually support before you build on top of it.
FAQ
What is 10BASE-T1L and why does it matter for BACnet networks?
It’s Ethernet over a single twisted pair with a 1 km reach instead of the usual 100 meters. Because it’s Ethernet, BACnet/IP runs over it with no protocol translation or gateway, meaning existing two-wire runs originally pulled for MS/TP, Modbus, or LON can be repurposed for full BACnet/IP.
Is predictive AI actually being used in facilities management yet?
Yes, at meaningful scale. Johnson Controls’ 2026 AI & Digitalization in Facilities Management Report found 65% of business leaders and 67% of facility managers say their organization already uses AI for facility operations and maintenance.
What’s actually blocking predictive maintenance AI from working well?
Data quality, not the AI model. The same Johnson Controls survey found data quality and system integration were cited as the biggest barriers to scaling AI, ahead of budget, cybersecurity, and in-house expertise. Industry guests interviewed for the piece described this as a “dirty data problem”: inconsistent point naming, orphaned overrides, and gaps in historical trends.
Are digital twins actually being adopted in commercial buildings in 2026?
Adoption is real but selective. Twinview’s director described 2026 as a genuine pivot point, but with the strongest adoption landing in “operationally complex” portfolios: higher education, healthcare, social housing, and large commercial real estate with aging infrastructure.
Is edge computing running directly on BACnet controllers yet?
No. Hardware refresh cycles in building automation run 15 to 20 years, and the installed controller base doesn’t have the memory or processing power to host analytics workloads. What is deployed today is gateway-level edge processing that aggregates BACnet data locally and forwards exceptions upstream.
Which vendors are actually shipping 10BASE-T1L products?
Honeywell has T1L support built into its Optimizer Unitary Controllers line with a named government-facility case study. Contemporary Controls presented T1L at AHR Expo 2026 and ships an EIMK-T1L media converter. Altronix entered the market in July 2026 under its Pace brand. Texas Instruments, Analog Devices, and Broadcom are shipping T1L PHY silicon.
How many OT networks actually have health problems that would undermine AI or digital twin projects?
In OptigoVN’s 2025 State of the Network Report, of roughly 2,008 monitored networks, 34.1% scored Critical and 37.4% scored Warning — meaning close to three-quarters would be feeding any AI platform an unreliable picture of the building.
FAQs are created with the assistance of generative AI.